{"id":613225,"date":"2026-09-09T11:46:15","date_gmt":"2026-09-09T08:46:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/korabelov.info\/2026\/09\/613225\/those-who-wanted-to-leave-because-of-the-war-have-already-done-so-demographer-on-migration\/"},"modified":"2026-09-09T11:46:19","modified_gmt":"2026-09-09T08:46:19","slug":"those-who-wanted-to-leave-because-of-the-war-have-already-done-so-demographer-on-migration","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/korabelov.info\/en\/2026\/09\/613225\/those-who-wanted-to-leave-because-of-the-war-have-already-done-so-demographer-on-migration\/","title":{"rendered":"\"Those who wanted to leave because of the war have already done so\": demographer on migration"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\">There are currently no signs that, ahead of winter, Ukrainians will <strong>massively leave<\/strong> for European countries. Data from open sources and sociological surveys<strong> do not indicate<\/strong> a serious increase in migration intentions. This was said in an<a href=\"https:\/\/www.rbc.ua\/rus\/news\/zaklikati-lyudey-povertatisya-ukrayinu-neratsionalno-1788868969.html\"> interview<\/a> <strong>RBC-Ukraine<\/strong> by a migration expert, senior researcher at the Institute of Demography and Social Studies of the NAS of Ukraine <strong>Oleksiy Poznyak<\/strong>. According to him, most people who were ready to leave Ukraine because of the war have already left in previous years.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"quote-light\">\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\">&#8220;Those who were inclined to leave Ukraine because of the war have already done so&#8221;, \u2014 Poznyak noted.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\">Those who remained in Ukraine or returned after a short stay abroad are mostly inclined to stay in the country unless the situation significantly worsens. The expert allows that an intensification of shelling and a deterioration of conditions in winter <strong>could increase the number of people willing to leave<\/strong>. At the same time, he considers<strong> unlikely<\/strong> a repeat of the large-scale migration wave of 2022.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Earlier we wrote:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/korabelov.info\/2026\/02\/573952\/5-6-mln-ukraintsiv-perebuvaiut-za-kordonom-menshe-polovyny-prahnut-povernutysia\/\">5.6 million Ukrainians are abroad, fewer than half want to return<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/korabelov.info\/en\/2026\/05\/587470\/only-22-25-million-in-territory-controlled-by-ukraine-ministry-of-social-policy\/\">Only 22\u201325 million in Ukrainian-controlled territory, &#8211; Ministry of Social Policy<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/korabelov.info\/en\/2026\/04\/584392\/nearly-one-million-draft-age-men-from-ukraine-are-in-the-eu\/\">Around one million conscription-age men from Ukraine are in the EU<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/korabelov.info\/en\/2026\/08\/603298\/reserve-will-now-be-needed-not-only-in-ukraine-the-eu-has-changed-temporary-protection-rules-for-men\/\">&#8220;Reserve+&#8221; will now be needed not only in Ukraine: the EU changed temporary protection rules for men<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/korabelov.info\/2026\/01\/565942\/na-kordonakh-ukrainy-sposterihaietsia-rekordnyj-pasazhyropotik-ponad-100-tysiach-osib-za-dobu\/\">Ukraine&#8217;s borders are seeing a record passenger flow of over 100,000 people per day<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Despite frequent shelling and forecasts of a harsh winter, experts do not see a new mass wave of Ukrainians leaving for Europe.<br \/>\nSenior Research Fellow at the Institute of Demography and Social Studies of the National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine, Oleksiy Poznyak, believes that most of those who were prepared to emigrate because of the war have already done so.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":12394,"featured_media":613197,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","tstyn_error":"","tie_post_sub_title":"A new wave of emigration is unlikely: what Ukrainians' moods before winter suggest"},"categories":[4578],"tags":[4682,4692,4709],"class_list":["post-613225","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-society","tag-eu","tag-refugees","tag-war-with-russia"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.4 (Yoast SEO v28.4) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>&quot;Those who wanted to leave because of the war have already done so&quot;: demographer on migration - \u041d\u043e\u0432\u043e\u0441\u0442\u0438 \u041d\u0438\u043a\u043e\u043b\u0430\u0435\u0432\u0430 c\u0435\u0433\u043e\u0434\u043d\u044f<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Despite frequent shelling and forecasts of a harsh winter, experts do not see a new mass wave of Ukrainians leaving for Europe. Senior Research Fellow at the Institute of Demography and Social Studies of the National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine, Oleksiy Poznyak, believes that most of those who were prepared to emigrate because of the war have already done so. | \u041a\u043e\u0440\u0430\u0431\u0435\u043b\u043e\u0432.\u0418\u041d\u0424\u041e\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/korabelov.info\/en\/2026\/09\/613225\/those-who-wanted-to-leave-because-of-the-war-have-already-done-so-demographer-on-migration\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"&quot;Those who wanted to leave because of the war have already done so&quot;: demographer on migration\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Despite frequent shelling and forecasts of a harsh winter, experts do not see a new mass wave of Ukrainians leaving for Europe. 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