{"id":597104,"date":"2026-07-08T11:31:24","date_gmt":"2026-07-08T08:31:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/korabelov.info\/2026\/07\/597104\/imf-ukraine-third-in-europe-by-projected-growth-3-8-per-year\/"},"modified":"2026-07-08T11:31:27","modified_gmt":"2026-07-08T08:31:27","slug":"imf-ukraine-third-in-europe-by-projected-growth-3-8-per-year","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/korabelov.info\/en\/2026\/07\/597104\/imf-ukraine-third-in-europe-by-projected-growth-3-8-per-year\/","title":{"rendered":"IMF: Ukraine \u2014 third in Europe by projected growth. 3.8% per year"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Ukraine has entered the top three leaders in Europe by projected economic growth rates with an average of about <strong>3.8%<\/strong> per year, according to the updated International Monetary Fund study <a href=\"https:\/\/www.imf.org\/en\/publications\/weo\">World Economic Outlook<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Listed first in the ranking is Malta with expected rates of almost <strong>4%<\/strong> per year, and after a period of rapid rise fueled by tourism, online gaming and financial services, the IMF emphasizes the need to shift to productivity-driven growth.<\/p>\n<p>Kosovo ranks second with approximately <strong>4%<\/strong> average annual growth, where dynamics are driven by remittances from migrant workers, active public investment and a significant share of young workers in the labor market.<\/p>\n<p>Ukraine is placed third with a forecast of <strong>3.8%<\/strong> per year, and peak rates are expected in <strong>2028<\/strong> \u2014 about <strong>4.2%<\/strong>. The baseline scenario assumes post-war recovery and large-scale investments, the need for which, according to the World Bank, could reach $<strong>600<\/strong> billion, whereas under a prolonged-war scenario growth could be limited to approximately <strong>1%<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p>Fourth is Serbia with about <strong>3.52%<\/strong> per year, where additional boosts come from preparations for Expo <strong>2027<\/strong>, the implementation of large infrastructure projects and capital inflows into industry.<\/p>\n<p>Fifth place is occupied by Moldova with rates at <strong>3.5%<\/strong> per year, driven by progress on reforms, support from the EU and stable remittances from abroad.<\/p>\n<p>For comparison: the eurozone, according to the IMF, will add about <strong>1.2%<\/strong> on average annually, the world economy \u2014 about <strong>3.2%<\/strong>, and developing countries in Asia \u2014 approximately <strong>4.6%<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<h3>Previously we wrote:<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/korabelov.info\/en\/2026\/05\/589083\/government-s-15-year-strategy-6-gdp-growth-investments-of-24-30-and-the-return-of-3-1-million-ukrainians\/\">Government&#8217;s 15-year strategy: 6% GDP growth, investments 24\u201330% and the return of 3.1 million Ukrainians<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/korabelov.info\/2026\/02\/573815\/mvf-zatverdyv-4-richnu-prohramu-finansuvannia-ukrainy-na-8-1-mlrd-dolariv\/\">IMF approved a 4-year financing program for Ukraine worth $8.1 billion<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/korabelov.info\/2025\/12\/564825\/bez-vyboru-ne-bude-myru-zelenskyj-rozkryv-20-punktiv-planu-z-referendumom\/\">No peace without choice: Zelensky unveiled 20 points of a plan including a referendum<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/korabelov.info\/2024\/12\/484607\/ukraina-obijshla-rosiiu-ekonomika-adaptuvalasia-do-vijny\/\">Ukraine has overtaken Russia: the economy adapted to the war<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/korabelov.info\/2024\/10\/476229\/kinets-ne-skoro-mvf-podovzhyv-prohnoz-vijny-do-kintsia-2025-roku\/\">&#8220;The end is not near&#8221;: IMF extended the war forecast until the end of 2025<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Ukraine is placed third with a forecast of 3.8% per year, and peak rates are expected in 2028 \u2014 about 4.2%. The baseline scenario assumes post-war recovery and large-scale investment, the need for which, according to the World Bank's estimate, may reach $600 billion, whereas if the war is prolonged growth may be limited to approximately 1%.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":12394,"featured_media":597085,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","tstyn_error":"","tie_post_sub_title":"Peak rates are expected in 2028 \u2014 about 4.2% assuming post-war recovery and investments of up to $600 billion"},"categories":[4612,4578],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-597104","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-economic","category-society"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.9 (Yoast SEO v28.0) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>IMF: Ukraine \u2014 third in Europe by projected growth. 3.8% per year - \u041d\u043e\u0432\u0438\u043d\u0438 \u041c\u0438\u043a\u043e\u043b\u0430\u0454\u0432\u0430 \u0441\u044c\u043e\u0433\u043e\u0434\u043d\u0456<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Ukraine is placed third with a forecast of 3.8% per year, and peak rates are expected in 2028 \u2014 about 4.2%. The baseline scenario assumes post-war recovery and large-scale investment, the need for which, according to the World Bank&#039;s estimate, may reach $600 billion, whereas if the war is prolonged growth may be limited to approximately 1%. | \u041a\u043e\u0440\u0430\u0431\u0435\u043b\u043e\u0432.\u0418\u041d\u0424\u041e\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/korabelov.info\/en\/2026\/07\/597104\/imf-ukraine-third-in-europe-by-projected-growth-3-8-per-year\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"IMF: Ukraine \u2014 third in Europe by projected growth. 3.8% per year\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Ukraine is placed third with a forecast of 3.8% per year, and peak rates are expected in 2028 \u2014 about 4.2%. 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The baseline scenario assumes post-war recovery and large-scale investment, the need for which, according to the World Bank's estimate, may reach $600 billion, whereas if the war is prolonged growth may be limited to approximately 1%. | 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